Saturday 10 November 2012

Watching the tropics, Major implications on Current Pattern

The 0z CMC is on board with a very robust system off the northeast coast. The euro continues to show a system off the east coast but a bit weaker. The difference in the modelling is due to the cold front which moves off the east coast this wednesday the 14th. The GFS has a stronger cold front with more interaction between the energy left back by our trailing front currently sitting off the east coast. This causes the energy to get pulled north into atlantic canada. The CMC has a weaker trough that misses the interaction with the energy int he atlantic and as a result the energy gets captured by another trough and gets pulled into the east coast of the u.s. The euro has a similar solution but sweeps away the initial energy, leaving another piece off the coast and pulling it into the trough off the east coast. This produces a storm off the northeast coast as well. Very interesting situation evolving, something that I will continue to watch.
CMC at hour 204:
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CMC at hour 240:

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Euro at 216:
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240:
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GFS at hour 144 notice the low near newfoundland:
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